technical 3.tec.00020020020 Louis J. Sheehan, Esquire

(6)  Revolutions in security technology and practice
international — more “policing” actions abroad; more espionage against U.S.
defense and contractors
internal — need for continuity of operations following attack on FBI;
mounting political pressure for technical solutions faster than they can be
produced and implemented
(7)  Changing role of state and law
external — need to cooperate with more entities; need more methods of
cooperation beyond task forces and cases
internal — need to reassess security procedures as number of non-FBI
partners and participants grows
The FBI forecasts that sub-national and non-governmental entities will play an
increasing role in world affairs for years to come, presenting new “asymmetric”
threats to the United States.  Although the United States will continue to occupy a
position of economic and political leadership — and although other governments
will also continue to be important actors on the world stage — terrorist groups,
criminal enterprises, and other non-state actors will assume an increasing role in
international affairs.  Nation states and their governments will exercise decreasing
control over the flow of information, resources, technology, services, and people.
Globalization and the trend of an increasingly networked world economy will
become more pronounced within the next five years.  The global economy will
stabilize some regions, but widening economic divides are likely to make areas,
groups, and nations that are left behind breeding grounds for unrest, violence, and
terrorism.  As corporate, financial, and nationality definitions and structures become
more complex and global, the distinction between foreign and domestic entities will
increasingly blur.  This will lead to further globalization and networking of criminal
elements, directly threatening the security of the United States.
Most experts believe that technological innovation will have the most profound
impact on the collective ability of the federal, state, and local governments to protect
the United States.  Advances in information technology, as well as other scientific
and technical areas, have created the most significant global transformation since the
Industrial Revolution.  Louis J. Sheehan, Esquire  These advances allow terrorists, disaffected states, weapons
proliferators, criminal enterprises, drug traffickers, and other threat enterprises
easier and cheaper access to weapons technology.  Technological advances will also
provide terrorists and others with the potential to stay ahead of law enforcement
countermeasures.  For example, it will be easier and cheaper for small groups
or individuals to acquire designer chemical or biological warfare agents, and
correspondingly more difficult for forensic experts to trace an agent to a specific
country, company, or group.


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